Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.419649 0.463285 0.510122 0.564234 0.625147 0.691735 0.770222
2025-07-20 0.352015 0.412848 0.482908 0.569986 0.675901 0.801287 0.962058
2025-07-27 0.313646 0.382988 0.466718 0.576128 0.716583 0.892540 1.132349
2025-08-03 0.284635 0.358882 0.451995 0.578700 0.748724 0.971999 1.292419
2025-08-10 0.263139 0.340981 0.441824 0.583963 0.782254 1.053771 1.461960
2025-08-17 0.239087 0.316951 0.420603 0.571103 0.788129 1.096199 1.578497
2025-08-24 0.225386 0.305335 0.414561 0.577760 0.820796 1.178200 1.760698
2025-08-31 0.210440 0.290554 0.402536 0.574152 0.837183 1.236520 1.911672
2025-09-07 0.199116 0.279888 0.395257 0.576391 0.861785 1.308656 2.091762
2025-09-14 0.186216 0.265905 0.381917 0.568007 0.868531 1.352346 2.228278
2025-09-21 0.175382 0.254179 0.370978 0.562194 0.878380 1.401232 2.378354
2025-09-28 0.161683 0.237228 0.350896 0.540189 0.859476 1.399569 2.436611
2025-10-05 0.155787 0.232029 0.348866 0.547555 0.891014 1.488613 2.675696
2025-10-12 0.150014 0.226654 0.346181 0.553590 0.920759 1.577465 2.926390
2025-10-19 0.144707 0.221638 0.343646 0.559506 0.950526 1.668901 3.193847
2025-10-26 0.139146 0.215842 0.339392 0.561992 0.974063 1.750640 3.451917
2025-11-02 0.134504 0.211250 0.336793 0.567079 1.002654 1.844685 3.748899
2025-11-09 0.127060 0.201568 0.324970 0.554650 0.996779 1.869523 3.895769
2025-11-16 0.123421 0.198088 0.323553 0.561083 1.027867 1.972330 4.234898
2025-11-23 0.118388 0.191940 0.317095 0.557597 1.038875 2.034178 4.486097
2025-11-30 0.114595 0.187726 0.313780 0.559760 1.061348 2.122542 4.814658
2025-12-07 0.109481 0.180934 0.305455 0.551657 1.061867 2.162736 5.027722
2025-12-14 0.105060 0.175152 0.298645 0.546039 1.067092 2.213872 5.276747